Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.037042 0.043397 0.050403 0.058685 0.068191 0.078745 0.091333
2025-03-23 0.028225 0.036686 0.046903 0.060083 0.076565 0.096416 0.122054
2025-03-30 0.021614 0.030842 0.042925 0.059755 0.082414 0.111665 0.152047
2025-04-06 0.016523 0.025692 0.038617 0.057904 0.085632 0.123662 0.179283
2025-04-13 0.013035 0.021931 0.035345 0.056642 0.089094 0.136040 0.208233
2025-04-20 0.011345 0.020461 0.035036 0.059452 0.098556 0.157733 0.252650
2025-04-27 0.009877 0.019011 0.034435 0.061578 0.107070 0.178776 0.298220
2025-05-04 0.008087 0.016617 0.031827 0.059934 0.109182 0.189945 0.329473
2025-05-11 0.006819 0.014897 0.030054 0.059353 0.112827 0.203735 0.366048
2025-05-18 0.005641 0.013099 0.027809 0.057526 0.113948 0.213250 0.396226
2025-05-25 0.004743 0.011676 0.026020 0.056233 0.115760 0.223967 0.429261
2025-06-01 0.004148 0.010780 0.025119 0.056493 0.120428 0.240080 0.473119
2025-06-08 0.003446 0.009506 0.023251 0.054591 0.120807 0.248643 0.504647
2025-06-15 0.003188 0.009242 0.023534 0.057256 0.130652 0.275999 0.573735
2025-06-22 0.002808 0.008589 0.022827 0.057652 0.135849 0.294863 0.628350
2025-06-29 0.002380 0.007702 0.021409 0.056221 0.136957 0.305688 0.668205
2025-07-06 0.002039 0.006971 0.020238 0.055175 0.138747 0.318009 0.712064
2025-07-13 0.001921 0.006869 0.020652 0.058019 0.149637 0.350261 0.799328
2025-07-20 0.001782 0.006671 0.020776 0.060151 0.159107 0.380306 0.884400
2025-07-27 0.001522 0.006014 0.019527 0.058568 0.159555 0.390763 0.928747
2025-08-03 0.001333 0.005543 0.018716 0.058013 0.162420 0.406796 0.986409
2025-08-10 0.001134 0.004981 0.017526 0.056231 0.161981 0.415256 1.028015
2025-08-17 0.000978 0.004527 0.016575 0.054967 0.162700 0.426417 1.076524